NSF: It is reasonable to suspect Mann of falsifying data

An investigation by the National Science Foundation into the Climategate scandal has come to the conclusion that there are strong grounds for suspicions against Michael "Hide the decline" Mann and his accomplices. The report concludes:

"As noted above, no specific allegation or evidence of data fabrication or falsification was made to the University; rather, the University developed its allegation of data falsification based on a reading of publicly released emails, many of which contained language that reasonably caused individuals, not party to the communications, to suspect some impropriety on the part of the authors."

We were right all along. Finally, we have been vindicated! Now please can we get back all the countless billions of our tax-payers dollars and euros spent on this fraud?

Obviously, the Warmistas will desperately try to spin this in any ways they can! It's time to jump off the AGW bandwagon now, boys!

Update: As can be observed below, the forces of misdirection and desinformation are already gathering. There are some statements in the report that unfortunately are somewhat ambiguous when taken out of context, and it is those statements the trolls predictably are trying to spin. They include:

"Although the Subject's data is still available and still the focus of significant critical examination, no direct evidence has been presented that indicates the Subject fabricated the raw data he used for his research or falsified his results."

"Such scientific debate is ongoing, but does not, in itself, constitute evidence of research misconduct."

 "Concerning False Claims, 18 USC #287 and 31 USC ##3729-33 and False Statement, 18 USC #1001, we examined the elements of each suggested offense and have concluded that there is insufficient evidence of violation of any of these statutes to warrant investigation."

"We reviewed the emails and concluded that nothing contained in them evidenced research misconduct withing the definition of the NSF Research Misconduct Regulation. ... We found no basis to conclude that the emails were evidence of research misconduct or that they pointed to such evidence."

While some unscrupulous individuals will claim that this means that Mann is innocent like a little lamb with a shiny white fleece that has just been white washed, we know that what it really says is that Mann and his Team have hidden all the evidence, just like they did "hide the decline of global temperatures the last decades." Indeed, we know and have always known that the Team-tribe is up to no good. Why are they trying to hide that Arabs colonized Greenland during the very very hot medieval period? We are very skeptical about the whole AGW thing, and nothing you say is ever going to change our mind! We stand up for the truth, against enviro-tyranny.

Update 2: Marc Morano at Climate Depot agrees with my analysis:

"It doesn't conclude there is 'nothing wrong' with Mann's conclusions, all it concludes is there is no basis to conclude he did anything improper WITH NSF FUNDING"

Precisely! Maybe Mann did his falsifications with money he stole from orphans, or earned by trafficking, or counterfeited, or got as bribes from the rising Soviet Union. Until that has been disproved, we have no choice but to consider him guilty as charged!

On Hiding the Decline and Rebuilding Trust part III (of LXXV): To Serve Mann

By cartoonist Josh, from WUWT

The final nail in the coffin of global warming is nigh! The ultimate truth of the Climategate scandal is revealed. The downfall and disgrace of the Team is finally coming. Teamster Eugene Wahl has spilled the beans.

Mosher at WUWT reports: 

“Sources confirm that a federal inspector has questioned Eugene Wahl and Wahl has confirmed that Mann asked him to delete emails. Wahl has also informed the inspector that he did delete emails as the result of this request.”

We thank this courageous source, probably the brave Senator Inhofe's office.

And Marc Morano: 

“Climategate’s Michael Mann Caught!? Justice to be Served?! Climategate’s Eugene Wahl ‘has confirmed that Mann asked him to delete emails… Wahl did delete emails as the result of this request’”

So the case is clear: Teamster Mann ordered Teamster Wahl to delete emails. Mann was the bloated spider in the center of the web of deceit and deception spun by the Team; the ayatollah behind the Team's reign of climate terror. The emails in questions are reported to be concerned with a clandestine exchange Wahl had with Teamster Briffa, when Briffa asked for Wahl's assistance in corrupting the corrupt IPCC procedures in order to respond to a hockey-stick-related comment from an IPCC reviewer (who actually was our hero Steve McIntyre). The corruption is claimed to consist of Wahl, secretly and most certainly in violation of the corrupted IPCC rules, sending Briffa a paper he co-authored with Teamster Ammann which had not been published at that time, but that is probably just the tip of the non-melting ice-berg. We can only speculate what tricks, decline-hiding, spaghetti cooking and data massaging was going on in that corrupt paper. It is now clear that nothing in the IPCC reports can be trusted. The public is rapidly losing confidence in climate science due to this sordid affair, and justifiably so. This would never have happened of the IPCC had followed my advise to video record all activities of IPCC authors; to log all their computer activities; to record all their communications and conversations; monitor their physiological parameters (temperature, blood pressure, EKG, EEG etc); to regularly test their DNA for mutations; and to make all this information publicly available in real time on the web. I demand that the IPCC complies with my suggestions for the writing of the next report, due in 2035.

The momentous revelation of Mann's involvement has resulted in a grotesque and malicious ad hominem smearing campaign by notorious alarmists like Joe Romm. While it in some sense may be technically correct that Wahl actually didn't say that Mann asked him to delete the emails but only forwarded an email from Briffa, that is immaterial to the case at hand. We know for certain that Mann was master minding a conspiracy to corrupt the IPCC reports. Joe Romm is only trying to attack the messenger in order to divert the attention from Mann's transgressions, in particular not telling the Penn State investigation about the forwarding. Read for yourself if you can stomach it:

A bunch of widely discredited pro-pollution scientist-smearers — Anthony “shout them down” Watts, Chris Horner, Marc Morano, Steve McIntyre — have spun a partially leaked transcript from the IG investigation into a bunch of libelous falsehoods. Sen. Inhofe has now reposted those stories on the Senate EPW website (here). The most plausible theory is that Inhofe himself leaked the information to right-wing fabricators so he could quote those stories (see below).

Outrageous! Although one could argue that Mann didn't explicitly ask Wahl to delete the emails, but instead forwarded an email from Briffa to Wahl, it is clear that Mosher (on Watt's blog), Horner and Morano where justified to report that Mann did ask Wahl to delete the emails. There is nothing libelous in that! On the contrary, Mosher, Horner and Morano are brave and truth-loving and honorable men (who by the way have since made corrections, sort of)! And so is the highly esteemed Senator Inhofe, that beacon of sanity and integrity in the US Senate. Why is Romm so obsessive about whether the information came from Inhofe? The important thing is that the information is true, or at least was in principle (although perhaps not entirely in practice) true at the time it was deliberated. And if some things happened to be "leaked" and some things were not perfectly true - so what? We shouldn't ask for impossible standards of integrity and perfection. Romm and his fellow alarmists must really be getting desperate, but they know that their house of cards is falling down! Therefore, they are burning all their bridges. We will never get any reconciliation and we will never rebuild the public's trust in climate science if people like Romm have their way! Woe, woe, woe! This misery can only be remedied with even more blogging about the hockey-stick and Climate gate.

Yet, it is comforting to see that the public is unimpressed by Romm's fit of rage. Romm's post only got 50 comments, whereas Mosher's WUWT post has received 490 comments when I'm writing this, so it is quite clear who to trust on this matter. I conclude by citing some of the insightful comments to Mosher's piece:

Tastes like pork I am told.

-

The house of cards will soon be coming down.

Kudos to all those stalwart individuals that have doggedly pursued this noble cause. I have never made a “charitable” donation that made more sense and gave better results than supporting this and other climate realist organizations.

Well done!

-

If Wahl admitted this… wait my brain is trying to understand why there are no criminal proceedings going on right now.

-

Nothing will happen. Orthodox Party members never get in trouble. Only heretics and truth-tellers get in trouble.

-

Penn State (and Penn State alumni) better realize that they are NOT too big for this cover-up to severely damage their reputation.

On Hiding the Decline and Rebuilding Trust part II (of LXXV): Where Is Gavin Hiding?

It is more than a week since I posted "On Hiding the Decline and Rebuilding Trust part I (of LXXV)" in an effort to build bridges by addressing the single most important issue in climate science: the hockey stick graph on the 1999 WMO broschure cover. As all my readers can observe, one person was suspiciously absent from the ensuing discussion: Gavin Smith. It is very disappointing: Gavin's absence is definitely not helping to restore the public's trust in science, and it is in no way bringing us any closer to a reconciliation between alarmists and skeptics. It is rather more like a kick on the shin from a petulant child!

Of course Gavin didn't fare well at Climate Etc when he tried to defend the indefensible. And he surely knows that he will have an even harder time at my blog. He knows that no matter what he says we will not believe him. He knows that he will be shouted down and then FOIed down if he dares to show his face here! And he knows that we would advertise his utter defeat and humiliation on sites such as WUWT (and boost our hit count)! So it is not surprise that childish Gavin doesn't dare to discuss with us grown-ups!

Get sound effects & royalty free music at AudioMicro.

Instead, Gavin prefers to hide at the Team's notorious blog, RealClimate, where critical comments are systematically censored and the authors of the comments can be traced and put on the secret UN black list; where the blog owners can edit comments at will and write fake comments with fake pseudonyms pretending to support them or pretending to be silly and clueless "skeptics"; and where a horde of fanatical trolls launch massive ad-hominem and personal attacks towards anybody daring to question any aspect of their climate pseudo-dogma. It is upsetting that Gavin and his accomplices are spending tax-payers' money to work on their ivory-tower blog, which by the way very few people ever read or comment. RealClimate is also rumored to receive financial support from George Soros, Maurice Strong, the Rome Club, the Bilderberg Group, the Vatican, the Freemasons, the Rosicrucians, third-world kleptocrats, the Russian Mafia, and Margaret Thatcher.

No wonder people rather visit uncensored real science blogs like this one, where we address the real questions! It is here that Joe Six-Pack and his friends come for accurate and reliable information about climate science, and for informed and constructive discussions and balanced and fair commentary. Indeed, Gavin's silence proves once more what an important player in the blogsciencophere "The Climate Scum" has become. We are now so big and well respected that the Team is scared witless! This is the final nail in the coffin of the global warming swindle!

Persquere solum pullum

On Hiding the Decline and Rebuilding Trust part I (of LXXV)

In 1999, the World Meteorological Organization printed a brochure that would have a devastating effect on our society. The brochure featured on its cover the infamous Hockey Stick – a graph with a temperature reconstruction purporting to demonstrate that the alleged recent temperature increase was unprecedented. Almost everybody believed in this graph, and thought it to be the final and ultimate truth. So this graph became the cornerstone in the construction of an unprecedented global warming narrative that came to completely dominate the scientific, political and economical discourse for the next decade. The importance of this WMO cover graph cannot be underestimated. The whole global warming edifice rested on it being correct - this was the single piece of evidence that the warmists had.
But then something happened in 2009. When the Climategate emails were liberated from University of East Anglia, the whole world could see that a trick had been used to hide the decline! The graph did not only contain proxies: the so-called scientist had added actual temperature measurements to make it appear that the temperature had increased the last couple of decades! The proxy data, which were most deceitfully truncated, showed that temperatures were going down! This problem, called the divergence problem, had been carefully hidden in scientific journals where nobody would ever find out about it.
This deceit, yes I do not hesitate to call it a fraud, committed by the notorious Team, a group of activists that are high priests of the IPCC, has fundamentally shaken confidence in climate science. If the Team could remove proxy temperature data that they thought were “bad” from a graph in a WMO brochure and add thermometer data instead, what else could they do? Was there anything in climate science one could trust? The answer was obviously “No”. The public’s trust in climate science was sadly obliterated. Indeed, this scandalous event has led to widespread erosion in people’s trust in science and scientists. Many people don’t believe in physics anymore, and might stop using computers, cellular phones, televisions, microwave ovens and other high technological devices that are based on modern physics. Many people might stop going to medical doctors and start going to witch doctors instead. Many people might start thinking that Earth is flat. Democracy and the modern industrial society are undermined, and feudalism is making a comeback. We are rapidly moving towards a new dark age because of this shameless abuse of a graph in a WMO brochure.
Therefore, it is paramount that we try to rebuild trust in science again. For that purpose, I have started a series of blog posts that will be dedicated to discussing and analyzing the WMO graph and exposing the culprits and bring them to justice and make them take responsibility for this heinous crime. Only by openly and honestly discussing this outrageous event and revealing the truth can the public’s trust in climate science and science in general be at least partially restored.
In this first trust-building post, I want to discuss what adjectives best describe the nefarious and dishonest activities of the Team. After 1000 comments, I will write a second post, and so on. I expect to write about 75 posts on this important subject, until the public’s trust in science, now shattered by the duplicity of the Team in producing that WMO graph from 1999, has been rebuilt. I’m doing this because I believe in science! Nothing, I repeat nothing, can be more important than discussing “hide the decline”. Indeed, I would as far as stating that nothing else matters until this issue has gotten a satisfactory resolution. Until then, all climate science is meaningless and should be ignored.
Ony then can we go on to discuss other importan questions, such as the effect of underwater volcanoes and the iron core sun.

Another vicious attack on Wegman

Another vicious attack against professor Edward Wegman, the world’s foremost statistician, has been launched by the blog with the pornographically-sounding name “Deep Climate”. Professor Wegman was behind the report that convincingly demonstrated that Michael Mann’s infamous hockey-stick was broken.
Apparently, the warmists couldn’t find any pretence for attacking professor Wegman personally. Nor were they able to produce any incriminating evidence in professor Wegman’s email correspondence – they have probably not even been able to procure said email correspondence! So instead, the cowards resort to attacking professor Wegman’s report! It is absolutely disgusting.
The disgraceful attack appears to have two prongs. First, Deep Climate claims that professor Wegman, instead of actually doing his own investigation of the ability to reproduce hockey-sticks from red (communist) noise, just copied original hockey-stick breakers McIntyre and McKitrick without really understanding what was going on. This is of course utterly ridiculous: in order to reproduce a scientific result one obviously need to have exactly the same data and code. Otherwise, one might get the wrong result. Second, Deep Climate claims that the code of McIntyre and McKitrick selected those 1% of graphs that looked most like a hockey-stick (had the most pronounced blades), instead of selecting them randomly from all those generated. Again, this is an utterly ridiculous complaint, illustrating Deep Climate’s complete lack of understanding of statistics and sports. After all, it is called the “hockey-stick graph”. With a smaller blade, it would look more like a golf club (unlike ice-hockey golf is a noble and manly sport, free of poorly disguised homo-eroticism).
One also has to ask oneself what is the reason for this asinine and manic obsession with some arcane issues in a 5-year old report. Don’t the warmists have anything new to offer? It really seems demented! But it is probably intended as a diversion from the defining issue in the climate debate: the use of short-centred PCs in the hockey-stick paper from 1998!

Circumornatae ut similitudo templi.

Secret climate conspiracy meeting in Lisbon

The always interesting new blog Whats Up With Watts has a most disturbing revelation about a "secret" symposium of paleoclimatologists (ie people that fake historical climate data). The symposium was clandestinely advertised on a well-hidden web site, so it is apparent that the organizers wanted to hide the fact that the meeting was secret (in other words, the meeting was secretly secret). However, the meeting was not reported in any major media, and that is highly unusual for a scientific event. In addition, the symposium took place in the largely unknown country of Portugal, in the well-concealed city of Lisbon (once a common meeting-place for spies) in September (a month favoured by communists). Indeed, something is very fishy here. To conclude that, it suffices to look at the elaborate and multi-layered webs of deception and subterfuge that were spun by twisted minds in dark chambers to conceal what was going on at this event.
The list of participants is even more suspicious, with Team members such as Michael Mann, Phil Jones, Raymond Bradley and Jonathan Overpeck. It is probably no coincident that all these Teamsters turned up at the symposium. They were certainly up to no good! I bet the main point on the agenda was how "to get rid of the Medieval Warm Period". And were was the suspiciously absent Keith Briffa? What strings was he pulling; behind what pines was he hiding?
On the Symposium web page, one can read:

We propose to revisit the MCA/MWP assimilating widespread and continuous paleoclimatic evidence in a homogeneous way and scale them against recent measured temperatures to allow a meaningful quantitative comparison against the 20th-century pace and magnitude of warming. It is the goal of the organizers to focus attention on this topic, so that the latest results will be considered in the next (fifth) assessment report of the IPCC.

Note the words: "assimilating", "homogeneous", "scale", "quantitative". This all means that they want to manipulate and massage and trick and fudge the data so it shows the desired result (i.e. world governance). And why did they bring up the 5th AR of the ICCCP? What new frauds are they planning this time? What goes on behind the curtains when the Teamsters and their accomplices scheme in the dark back alleys of Lisbon, where even the pick-pockets and harbor prostitutes do not dare to tread? We know that for the First AR, the paleoclimatologist faked a temperature graph which looked like a sickle (symbol of communism). Then for the Third AR, they decided to get rid of the fraudulent sickle graph (did they suspect that the game was up?) and replace it with the equally fraudulent Hockey Stick graph (the Soviet Union had a very successful hockey team). What will the next graph be like? An ice-pick, like the one that was used to murder Trotsky on the orders of Stalin? Clearly they have learned nothing about ethics or how to conceal their intentions.

One thing that we can be certain about, though, is that this Symposium cost the tax-payers in many countries huge amounts of money - money that otherwise could have been used to help starving children. The participants most likely traveled in their private jet planes, and stayed at the most luxurious hotels that the decadent city of Lisbon can offer. We have reasons to believe that the Symposium Banquet offered fried dormice, nightingale tongues and peacock brains, all washed down with copious amounts of Chateau d'Yquem. And what purpose had all the beautiful escort ladies that we also suspect were there? Are we to believe that they were interested in "Coral Records of central tropical Pacific temperature & hydrology during the Medieval Climate Anomaly"? What was that white stuff that I bet was on the team-members' brown noses? Portugal is known for having a very liberal drug legislation. Indeed, it seems like these people are more interested in getting stuffed, laid and high than in doing science. And in order to continue this decadent lifestyle, they need to keep the grant money flowing into their large pockets. And of course, they want to deny the rest of humanity their jet-set life style. They’ve already shown the nefarious depths to which they will stoop and the pressure to keep this charade going has to be immense. Make no mistake, AGW is a big time industry and the investors are not going to give up their investment easy, if ever.

So how can we uncover the truth about this Symposium? We must send FOI-requests to those involved, and then publicize the e-mails (which we obtained in some manner) where they discuss how they can avoid those FOI-requests while stupidly revealing details of their hidden tricks and frauds. We must have hearings in Congress with McIntyre, and we must address this issue on every Climate blog on the internets! The truth must come out!

Great Scandal in First IPCC report

All well-informed people must have heard of the notorious so-called Hockey Stick graph by the equally notorious Michael Mann and his accomplices. An alleged attempt to reconstruct northern hemisphere temperatures during the last millennium, it featured prominently in the third IPCC report, published in 2001. Its inclusion in that report is considered to be one of the greatest scientific scandals ever.
But there is an ever greater scandal that is waiting to have its story told. It concerns the first IPCC report, published in 1990. This report features another millennial temperature reconstruction (below).

This graph is commonly referred to as the “Sickle graph” because of its sickle-like shape (compare to the picture below).

Note that the sickle is a commonly used symbol for communism.

The “Sickle graph” is based on the work of Hubert Lamb, who also is the founder of the notorious Climate Research Unit at East Anglia University, of Climate Gate infamy (hardly a mere coincident). And if one investigates the origin of the graph, it turns out that it is not at all global, as claimed by the IPCC, but merely covers Central England!
This was in 1990, which was much closer to the medieval period than 2010 (ie the present year), and yet this was the best they could do. A crudely drawn graph for Central England (loaded with communist symbolism), and not even calibrated against present temperatures! Then one can only imagine how much worse our knowledge of medieval temperatures must be today, twenty years later.
Do you all see now what a terrible fraud this is? And the fraud has been successful: even many skeptics unknowingly use this disgraceful and discredited graph, a cruel mockery of everything that is good and pure in science! It is utterly unacceptable. Don’t let the alarmists keep this outrageousity buried any longer. After all, this is in the primary IPCC report – the most important of them all. This scandal will bring down the IPCC once and for all, and put an end to its reign of terror. And in particular, Bert Bolin must immediately resign as the first IPCC chair!

All skeptical bloggers must write about this scam of unprecedented proportions! Anthony Whats, Steve McIntyre – you must immediately help me to let the entire world know! Professor Wegman must immediately start a new investigation, and congressman Joe Barton must commission it!

My dear fellow skeptics, pit bulls for truth: this time we surely have the IPCC by the balls, and we will not let go!

Quod licet Jovi non licet bovi

Hockey stick fraud refuted

Do you remember the notorious and controversial hockey stick (above) which has been refuted so many times? Now it has finally been disproved by a paper in Annals of Applied Statistics by two genuine statisticians with no sordid connections to the climate fraud community. Their names are McShane and Wyner, and they have come up with the following temperatures for the last 1000 years:

It doesn't look at all like a hockey stick any more. Also look at the size of the error region (grey)! This is the final nail in the coffin of the AGW fraud!

Si uno adhuc proelio Romanos vincemus, funditus peribimus!